
World Temperatures according to the Hadley Center for Climate
Prediction. Note the steep drop over the last
year. Twelve-month long drop in world
temperatures wipes out a century of warmingOver the past year, anecdotal evidence for a
cooling planet has exploded. China has its coldest winter in 100 years.
Baghdad sees its first snow in all recorded history. North America has
the most snowcover in 50 years, with places like
Wisconsin the highest since record-keeping began. Record levels of
Antarctic sea ice, record cold in Minnesota, Texas, Florida, Mexico, Australia, Iran, Greece, South Africa, Greenland, Argentina, Chile --
the list goes on and on.
No more than anecdotal evidence, to be sure. But now, that evidence has
been supplanted by hard scientific fact. All four major global temperature
tracking outlets (Hadley, NASA's GISS, UAH, RSS) have released
updated data. All show that over the past year, global temperatures have
dropped precipitously.
A compiled list of all the sources can be seen here. The total amount of cooling ranges from
0.65C up to 0.75C -- a value large enough to wipe out most of
the warming recorded over the past 100 years. All in one year's time.
For all four sources, it's the single fastest temperature change ever
recorded, either up or down.
Scientists quoted in a past
DailyTech article link the cooling to reduced solar activity
which they claim is a much larger driver of climate change than man-made
greenhouse gases. The dramatic cooling seen in just 12 months time seems
to bear that out. While the data doesn't itself disprove that carbon
dioxide is acting to warm the planet, it does demonstrate clearly that
more powerful factors are now cooling it.
Let's hope those factors stop fast. Cold is more damaging than heat.
The mean temperature of the planet is about 54 degrees. Humans -- and most
of the crops and animals we depend on -- prefer a temperature closer to
70.
Historically, the warm periods such as the Medieval Climate Optimum
were beneficial for civilization. Corresponding cooling events such as the
Little Ice Age, though, were uniformly bad news.
Update 2/27: The graph for HadCRUT
(above), as well as the linked graphs for RSS and UAH are generated
month-to-month; the temperature declines span a full 12 months of
data. The linked GISS graph was graphed for the months of
January only, due to a limitation in the plotting program.
Anthony Watts, who kindly provided the graphics, otherwise has no
connection with the column. The views and comments are those of the
author only.
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